The Week That Was: 2024 06-22

The Week That Was: 2024 06-22 (June 22, 2024)

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)

Quote of the Week:

“If we did not have a doubt or recognize ignorance, we would not get any new ideas. There would be nothing worth checking, because we would know what is true. So, what we call scientific knowledge today is a body of statements of varying degrees of certainty. Some of them are most unsure; some of them are nearly sure; but none is absolutely certain. Scientists are used to this.” – Richard Feynman, The Meaning of It All: Thoughts of a Citizen-Scientist (1998)

Number of the Week:

$195,000,000 for four hours (2021 dollars)

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Scope: Discussed below is the presentation by Ole Humlum addressing the question: Are we currently in a climate crisis? Also discussed is Jim Steele's essay on the changing ITCZ; Roger Pielke Jr.'s questioning the science integrity of NOAA, a review of a book by a meteorologist on the climate cult and efforts to persuade journalists to join the climate cult. Briefly discussed are problems of destroying the oil and gas industry and relying on wind and solar power plus storage.


A Climate Crisis? On June 19, Meteorologist Ole Humlum made a thought-provoking address to the Irish Climate Science Forum (ICSF) and CLINTEL addressing the principal question: Are we currently in a climate crisis? The Climate & Energy Realists of Australia provided a video of the event as well as a follow along transcript. As with John Clauser, the slides were unusually good, and thanks to Jim O'Brien of ICSF they are posted on the SEPP website. In discussing the presentation TWTW will reference the slides. Professor Ole Humlum is well qualified to discuss “The State of Earth’s Climate 2024 – No Evidence of a Planetary “Crisis”!” His qualifications are stated in the introduction of the video. They are:

“Prof Ole Humlum used meteorological and climatological data to objectively assess the state of earth’s climate. Global air temperatures in 2023/24 are reported to be the “highest on record” – how significant is that? Global temperature records do confirm that observed average global air temperature rise is about +0.15C per decade – is that serious? Since 2004, the global oceans above 1900 m depth on average have warmed about 0.037C – are the oceans “boiling”? Are recent variations between El Niño and La Niña episodes in any way unusual? To what extent is atmospheric CO2 concentration actually related to human contributions? Is rising sea level a threat? Are changes in sea ice extents in the Arctic and Antarctic in any way alarming? Are there significant trends in tropical storm and hurricane activity? Are there alarming trends in global precipitation? Ole provides all the hard facts – and will conclude that these observations reveal that there is no evidence of an “existential climate catastrophe.”

Professor Humlum bases his findings on observations from Nature, not speculative models. In physical science Nature Rules, it is the ultimate and final judge. Contrary to the assertions of the UN, IPCC, and many government collaborators, if theories, concepts, ideas are contrary to what nature reveals to us, the ideas and theories are simply wrong. And millions of dollars in supporting publicity or propaganda does not make them right.

Humlum analyzes the current state of the climate using ten subtopics:

Atmospheric temperatureOcean temperatureSea levelSea iceSnowWind and stormsGlobal precipitationGlobal cloud coverClimate change: importance of oceansFinal reflections and conclusionsFor atmospheric temperature he uses the surface air temperature numbers from the Hadley Center Climate Research Unit (HadCRUT). [Unlike others such as NASA-GISS and NOAA, this dataset does not include “imputed” data.] Humlum shows his calculations of the Surface air temperature anomaly for 2023 vs last ten 10 years. Importantly, he also shows the entire dataset for the USH MSU global temperature anomaly, which is calculated from satellite data [the only true global dataset of temperature trends].Humlum also shows the NASA-GISS global temperature anomaly and shows a slide clearly demonstrating how NASA-GISS changed the temperature values a number of times between May 2008 to May 2024. For the most part, NASA-GISS cooled the data from 1885 to 1970 (with a few warming spikes during this period) and warmed the temperatures after 1975. This reflects poorly on the standards of integrity in science demonstrated by NASA-GISS and agencies in Washington that use this dataset. Humlum shows how from May 2008 to May 2024 NASA-GISS changed reported January temperatures over the period from 1910 to 2000 increasing it from 0.45C in 2008 to 0.67C May 2024.

Humlum discusses the urban heat island effect, focusing on Oslo Norway, and concludes: Much is still to be learnt about urban heat islands!Using the UAH-MSU data he shows the differences in changes in the Arctic and

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